The ramblings of an Eternal Student of Life     
. . . still studying and learning how to be grateful and make the best of it
 
 
Saturday, August 24, 2013
Current Affairs ... Economics/Business ... Foreign Relations/World Affairs ...

I heard a story on the Voice of Russia radio news the other day about Ecuador’s plans to go ahead with drilling for oil in an environmentally rich and sensitive Amazon rainforest region, after failing to raise $3.6 billion in donations to “buy out” the economic value that the oil would have to its economy. The Washington Post article pretty much summed up the situation: “Ecuador asked the world to pay it not to drill for oil, and the world said no”. President Rafael Correa came up with this plan back in 2010. He managed to raise a total of $13 million; so it was 0.1 billion down, 3.5 to go. Now he decided to throw in the towel and drill, baby, drill. Of course, while requesting the funds, there were all sorts of dire consequences in the air; now he says that less than 1% of the Yasuni National Park will be affected.

Hmmm. This is something of a tough question. On the one hand . . . we can’t all ask each other to pay to not drill for oil. At some point, oil production would plummet and prices would shoot up, then the world economy would crash and nobody could make any further such payments. If Ecuador got away with this, then why not Mexico, Canada, Russia, Niger, maybe even North Dakota? On the other hand . . . poorer nations have a harder time integrating environmental concerns in their oil drilling efforts. (It is arguable that abundant natural-resources keep poorer nations from diversifying their economies, as they become too dependent on oil and mineral wealth — the “resource curse”). In all fairness, if environmentally sensitive areas are to be “saved”, or at least have damage minimized from hydrocarbon exploitation, then people in the better-off nations like the USA, Japan and Western Europe should contribute the most for this.

But other than asking for voluntary donations from governments or private individuals, there’s really no good way to make this happen. The world, such as it is, is just not ready for one-world government. It’s hard enough to make government work on local and state levels; and national politics in the past 10 years continue to make people doubt that government on the national level is useful. So why would we believe that a government of humankind-in-general could make things better?

So, sorry Ecuador, but the world is taking a pass on saving Yasuni (or that 1% of Yasuni that will be impacted). President Correa can now pin the blame on what he is about to do on the evil  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 8:00 am       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Monday, August 12, 2013
Current Affairs ... Economics/Business ...

I’ve read more than one article over the past year or so talking about the great things that fracking and other “unconventional” hydrocarbon sources (such as tar sands, very deep sea oil, methane hydrates, etc.) are or will soon do for our country. As you probably know, fracking is a controversial method of drilling for natural gas and oil deposits that until recently could not be extracted in a cost-effective fashion. Fracking has greatly increased domestic natural gas production such that gas prices have reached and stayed at very low levels relative to the 1980’s and 90’s. It also ended the on-going decline of oil production in the US, and has greatly increased the supply of domestic light oil, which (as compared with Californian heavy oil and Canadian tar sand oil) can be cheaply processed in almost all American refineries, and can be utilized for a wide variety of purposes.

The cost of fracking has been on the environmental side; fracking needs great amounts of water and produces chemically polluted waste-water that is hard to dispose of properly. It also might cause minor earthquakes and in a small percentage of cases pollute local groundwater with gas or the “injection chemicals” needed to break open rock layers. Very importantly, it is said to cause a great deal of methane emissions, which are potent greenhouse gasses and can overshadow the climate-change benefits of using lower-carbon natural gas versus coal.

As to the claim by many environmental activists that fracking is an environmental disaster in the making (see the movies Gasland and Gasland 2, if interested), I would not go that far. The wastewater disposal problem can be quite serious, but methane emissions can be controlled  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 9:57 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Saturday, August 3, 2013
Current Affairs ... Society ... Technology ...

As a follow-up to my recent note on John McAfee and his book on the Hindu “yamas”, I read a bit more about the Belize murder case against him. The circumstances of that murder still seem fishy, and Mr. McAfee’s hypothetical role in it certainly does seem plausible. But McAfee seems to be off the hook now that he’s back in the States. Or is he?

There’s an interesting article on the Sci Am web site about new techniques for “lie detecting”. These techniques are based on “big data” studies of people’s behavior and language usage, not on “high tech” solutions such as sodium pentothol injections or wired lie detectors that monitor heart rates, brain wavelengths, skin tension, etc.

All you need now are some videos and e-mails of a suspected liar discussing things that relate to the “secret” that the person might be hiding. The big data studies show emerging trends and differences in what is said and how it is said between liars and truth-tellers.

Has anyone analyzed Mr. McAfee about the murder of his next door neighbor right after some of McAfee’s dogs were poisoned? In fact, someone has! A high-tech company called  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 10:42 am       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Tuesday, July 30, 2013
Current Affairs ... Science ... Spirituality ...

My topic for today regards a line from a book about Hindu spirituality, entitled “The Secret of the Yamas”. This book was written in 2001 by a self-discovery guru named John McAfee. Yes, this is the same McAfee who was a NASA computer programmer in the late 60’s and later founded McAfee Anti-Virus. After selling his stake in that successful enterprise for around $100 million, McAfee went to Belize to work on a “natural antibiotics” venture based on bacterial “quorum sensing“, but became a suspect in a murder investigation and went fugitive, fleeing to Guatemala with a 20 year old girlfriend. She was allegedly one of many young women who have participated in his vision of a yogic spiritual lifestyle, one which certainly has a robust “kama” component to it. McAfee finally found his way back to Portland, Oregon, and still dates a number of women less than half his age (67).

Despite his dicey reputation, McAfee’s Yama book is a nice summary of eastern spirituality, written from a Hindu / yoga practice perspective. The Yamas are part of yoga, but aren’t the usual body posturing exercises that we Americans think of when we refer to yoga. Yamas (and the related niyamas) are actually a religious code of ethics, rules for living one’s life, akin to the Ten Commandments and the Buddhist Precepts; they are part of a “bigger yoga”, an integrated Hindu approach to life. There seem to be 5 Yamas, regarding Non-Violence, Non-Stealing, Non-Attachment, Chastity (non-you-know-whating) and Truthfulness (non-lying, I guess). McAfee’s book is a quick read, but presents a good overall summary of the ideals, values and philosophies behind almost all “eastern religions”. I’m not sure if McAfee is the best example on how to actually live according to the Yamas, but as with many spiritual guru’s, it’s a matter of “do as I say, not as I do”. Especially with regard to that fourth Yama on chastity.

Back to the line in the book needing correction . . . in the Introduction chapter, McAfee says that “We [i.e., humankind] can know the workings of distant solar systems and can predict the movements of subatomic particles . . but how many of us  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 3:00 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Saturday, July 27, 2013
Current Affairs ... Society ...

Enough time has gone by since the Zimmerman verdict (two weeks ago) for emotions to cool down a bit. During the trial I had studied the available evidence, and thus I agreed with the jury that the evidence did not support a “beyond a reasonable doubt” determination that Mr. Zimmerman had committed a high-level felony homicide or manslaughter offense against Trayvon Martin. In the most technical sense, the system of laws and legal procedures set up by centuries of British common law tradition and the United States Constitution worked as intended in this situation (as they did in the OJ Simpson criminal case way back in 1995).

But of course, most people interested in this case were NOT interested in the technical workings of the criminal justice system in Sanford, Florida. They wanted to get down to the big question: what the heck really happened on that fateful February night at the Twin Lakes condo complex in Sanford. We are living in a very politically divided and combative society today, and thus it is not surprising that two very different narratives have emerged regarding the fatal encounter between Mr. Martin and Mr. Zimmerman. Liberal politicians, pundits and media outlets joined with various African American leaders and commentators to tell a story of an unjust, racially motivated killing, one that repeats an ugly historical pattern of heinous assaults and homicides against innocent blacks by racist white people.

In contrast (quite an intentional contrast, given the charged political atmosphere), GOP and conservative elements emphasize a very different narrative, one that substitutes Mr. Zimmerman as a bumbling but well-intentioned victim  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 12:33 am       Read Comments (3) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Saturday, July 13, 2013
Current Affairs ... Society ...

The Treyvon Martin murder trial will soon be over, but it touched a nerve in our country regarding the perplexing question of racial profiling in police work. Almost all of us want good policing and criminal justice systems in our nation so as to protect us from criminals. At the same time, we can only spend so much of our limited money and resources to support these systems. But more importantly, we want our systems to be color-blind, to treat all fairly regardless of race, religious views, sex and sexual preference, ethnic heritage, age, etc. We’d like to think this could all be done without any conflicts. But as the Feb. 26, 2012 incident in the Twin Lakes complex in Sanford, Florida showed, sometimes conflicts are inevitable. And most regrettably, they can be deadly.

George Zimmerman, the volunteer community guard at Twin Lakes accused of murdering Treyvon Martin, clearly was not acting in a fashion that was blind to color, age and sex on the night of Feb. 26. He decided to carry out an enhanced level of surveillance against the late Mr. Martin, based possibly on the fact that Mr. Martin was a young black man (17 years old). While Mr. Zimmerman did not appear to interfere with Mr. Martin’s passage, he certainly did follow him, and called the municipal police requesting them to join in his surveillance effort. This certainly was an intrusion into Mr. Martin’s privacy and quality of life; very few of us would want to be followed and continually monitored by law-enforcement officials, even when outside of our homes. This treatment certainly was the fruit of profiling on Mr. Zimmerman’s part, which almost certainly did include consideration of Mr. Martin’s race.

The question is, can such irritating law enforcement action based on a profile-matching logic be justified by the circumstances? The housing complex where Mr. Zimmerman lived and volunteered to guard had over the past year experienced  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 6:29 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Saturday, June 29, 2013
Current Affairs ... Economics/Business ...

Even though the “Great Recession” is officially over, the USA seems to be suffering from an economic malaise that goes back to at least the turn of the century. A recent article by Niall Ferguson sums it up in its title: The End of the American Dream. In sum, there is a widening distribution of income; the rich are getting richer and the poor getting poorer, with less and less ground between them. Those without college degrees or some form of technical training probably will just barely get by, money will be a problem throughout their lives. Even those with college degrees or usable training such as respiratory technicians or auto mechanics face declining opportunities. Too many college grads continue to live at home with their parents, working in service jobs way below their skill level.

The chances for moving up, for improving one’s economic well-being over time, seem to have been halted. Governments and employers are trying to back out of promises made to citizens and employees regarding health care and old age benefits, promises that now seem way too expensive to fulfill. Unemployment and partial employment rates have been way too high for the past 5 years, while average wage levels began to stagnate well before that.

In many ways, it appears that something has fundamentally changed in our economy over the past 40 or 50 years. Back in the 1700s,  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 6:50 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Friday, May 3, 2013
Current Affairs ... Politics ...

It’s rather unfortunate what the politics of democracy can do in modern America, with its non-stop, instantly-connected, big-money news media. We have a news industry that uses modern technology (web sites, blogs, cable and satellite TV, etc.) to turn important news about our nation and its leadership into entertainment, and thus into a big-money maker. To be entertaining, there has to be lots of non-stop action and lots of conflict. Kind of like a Roman circus with its on-going gladiator battles and sacrifices of prisoners to wild animals.

Instead of real gladiators and man-eating lions, our media capitalists and political bosses take issues of national importance, things that really could use some thinking and calm discussion, and instead formulate extreme positions of blame and counter-blame between the Democrats and Republicans. This is in hopes of increasing “the power and glory of the party”, and the return on investment of big media firms. Al Gore is not far off the mark when he says that democracy has been “hacked”.

The investigation of the Boston Marathon bombing has definitely been co-opted by this media/political circus. The Boston bombing was a much smaller event than the 2001 al Qaeda attack  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 10:53 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Thursday, March 14, 2013
Current Affairs ... Religion ... Society ...

So we have a Pope. How did my predictions from this past Tuesday do? The bottom line is, terrible. In the end of my note I concluded that the stodgy old Cardinals would give in to politics and go with a Scola, Oullet or Scherer. They actually had a bit of a surprise in store for most of us. Cardinal Bergoglio had been mentioned in passing by some Vatican analysts, but his odds on the European betting sites never got much better than 25 to 1.

And yet . . . at the beginning of my post, I imagined the Cardinals making some room for an eventual new wind to blow in the Church. I forecast that the new Pope would be old and Italian, and prove to be a transitional figure who would pave the way for a Southern Hemisphere man to follow, a younger and energetic pope who would define a new sense of Catholic mission in the 21st Century.

Too bad that I then cast doubt on my forecast. What actually happened was not terribly far from that scenario. Cardinal Bergoglio’s election certainly does set precedent  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 9:23 pm       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Current Affairs ... Religion ...

Looks like the new Pope contest begins today, Tuesday! Anything could happen, but my prediction, for what little it’s worth, is that an old Italian will get it, someone around 78. Perhaps Cardinal Bertone, despite some rumors of his incompetence as Vatican Secretary of State, and his tie-ins with all the bad stuff going on in that little fiefdom. Or 79-year old Cardinal Re (not mentioned as a front-runner, admittedly, but who was taken seriously in the 2005 papal conclave).

In my opinion, the cardinals should want to play for time. They know that a “southern hemisphere” pope is inevitable, but may want to give the leading candidates a few more years to mature. So they will — or should, anyway — elect an interim, so as to buy maybe 5 or 6 years. The new/old Pope could profitably spend that time mopping up the Curial mess that is being left behind by Benedict, then imitate his predecessor by quitting while he’s ahead (if he hasn’t conveniently died by then).

When that day comes, I’d say that the top 3 in the race would be Turkson from Ghana, Tagle from the Phillipines and the German fellow from Brazil, Cardinal Scherer. I’d venture that Tagle is the true “Holy Spirit” candidate, but it depends  »  continue reading …

◊   posted by Jim G @ 9:15 am       Read Comment (1) / Leave a Comment
 
 
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