The ramblings of an Eternal Student of Life     
. . . still studying and learning how to be grateful and make the best of it
 
 
Wednesday, September 15, 2004
Outer Space ...

There’s a really good article on the Space Daily web site about where space exploration is headed in the 21st Century. The bottom line is this: it shouldn’t be like the past or the present, and it ain’t gonna be like Star Trek either. NASA wants to keep the Space Shuttle and the Space Station going, and President Bush wants to put humans back on the Moon and take them out to Mars. This article, written by a physician named Joy Shaffer, argues that the time for stuff like this is long past.

Doctor Shaffer’s father was an engineering professor in Florida who taught courses at the Kennedy Space Center; you can tell that she took after the old man in her appreciation for the nuts and bolts (and economics) of rockets and space ships. She makes the point that there ain’t much to gain anymore by sending people to hostile places like Mars; all the science and discovery there could be done more cheaply and safely by robots. Neither Mars, nor any other place in the Solar System, could practically support a human colony anytime soon. And just why would we want to be there anyway? A space base would use up so much energy just to keep people alive and relatively safe that there would be no economic benefit to it (as we’re finding out with the International Space Station).

About the only cool thing for humans to do in space, now that we’ve proved that we can get there, is to look for other places that may support intelligent life. Ms. Shaffer’s low-energy dream involves space elevators using carbon nanotube fibers, which could cheaply lift up huge observation equipment that could scan the heavens for planets like earth. Right now our telescopes and other sensors can pick up hints of other planets belonging to far-away stars. So far we can only pick up the big ones (like Jupiter or Saturn), and we can’t tell much about them. The big ones like that probably don’ t support life. With a huge array of orbiting detection equipment scanning both visible and invisible light spectrums, though, we could start to pick out planets like our own in terms of size, temperature, presence of atmosphere and presence of water. (And maybe also radio signals that would interest the SETI people?).

Next, using super-thin carbon nanotube sails and radioisotope generators – stuff that is being developed today — we could build spacecraft that would use solar wind to build up speeds of about 1% of light speed. If we could also develop the technique of hibernation – and Ms. Shaffer, being a doctor, seems to think that we can – then we could put people on such a spacecraft, put them to sleep for 2,500 years or so, and then wake them up to land on some earth-like planet and live out their years exploring it. They’d be aging at about 1% of the normal rate under hibernation, so they’d be 25 years older once they got there. But, they’d arguably have radio equipment and could beam signals that would reach the earth in about 25 years. So after 2,525 years, we’d finally know what happened to them and if they met any E.T.s out there. Or if we poisoned or blew up our planet up before then (or if the earth just runs out of resources), well, at least someone would be carrying on the human race, somewhere out there.

Dr. Shaffer seems to think that all of this would be possible before the 21st Century is over. Kids being born right now could live to see it. (But unless they also went into hibernation, they wouldn’t be there when the brave interstellar explorers finally report back on what they found.) The interesting thing is that the good doctor doesn’t rely on any huge revolutions in physics or energy – she isn’t counting on warp drive or antimatter fuel or even nuclear fusion becoming usable for space travel before 2100. She says that we can do some really cool things based on what we’re developing today; but the biggest hurdle is getting over our mindset that space travel involves a ship with a big power generator attached. So far, aviation and spacecraft design isn’t really all that much different than nautical technology from about three hundred years ago. Maybe it’s time for some bold new goals for space exploration based on new ways of thinking (or actually, very old ways; i.e. hoists and sailboats). I commend Dr. Shaffer for such thinking, and recommend her prophetic article to you. www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-04za.html She boldly goes where hardly anyone has gone thus far!

◊   posted by Jim G @ 7:48 pm       No Comments Yet / Leave a Comment
 
 
Sunday, July 13, 2003
Outer Space ...

NEVER AS GOOD AS THE FIRST TIME: In a few months, the first manned Chinese spaceflight will blast off. Two or three Chinese astronauts will make a few orbits in a small capsule not unlike the Soyuz or the old Mercury vehicle, and will then drop back in the usual ballistic re-entry. The Chinese are basically re-doing what the US and the Soviets did fourty years ago. Thus, there won’t be much contribution to the overall science of spaceflight. But politically, it will make a billion Chinese people feel good. Before too long, India may do the same thing.

Well, let them have their fun, I suppose. It’s just too bad about all of the time and energy that they used to re-invent the space capsule; it could have been better used in a partnership with a more advanced space program. Maybe the Chinese should have teamed up with Russia to bring back the Buran, the Soviet space shuttle that only made one space trip back in the late 80s (without anyone aboard). The Buran supposedly had some design features that were better than our Space Shuttle, e.g. more cargo room and jet engines for controlled landings. Unfortunately, one of the Burans was destroyed in a building collapse, and the other was sold to some guy who took it to Australia for display, then basically abandoned it.

I hope that the Chinese get a taste of the space euphoria that America had in the early 60s. There was a hit song on the pop radio stations back then called “Telstar“, which basically summed up the excitement. (Actually, two versions; the original by The Tornados and the popular cover by The Ventures). Sometimes you still hear “Telstar” used in a video clip of a rocket blast off. Yes, I hope there will be a pop-hit variation of Telstar in China. Let the Great Kingdom of the East enjoy it, because after they’ve spun their guys around the globe a few times, they’re gonna face the same problem that we now have regarding space: i.e., what next? what for? and how the heck are we gonna pay for it?

(The real Telstar satellite had an ironic ending, as it was accidently destroyed by the effect of a nuclear bomb test here on earth. Also the guy who wrote the song, Joe Meek, committed suicide. Perhaps those were signs of the troubles to come for the overall US space program).

LOST FUTURE: When I was a kid, we expected that by the time we grew up there would be dime-a-dozen wheel-shaped space stations in orbit, a couple of colonies up on the moon, some Mars visits, and at least one or two manned missions to Jupiter under way (recall the movie 2000 A Space Odyssey). But getting people off the planet and keeping them alive in space turned out to be much more expensive than we thought, and unlike computers and other high-tech stuff, the price for spacetravel has not tumbled significantly over the past few decades (back in the 50s, they thought that atomic energy was going to make everything possible, but that sure flopped). So for the time being, the Chinese, the Indians, and whoever else can shoot people up in a tin can to about 150 miles and keep them there for a few hours, but that’s about as far as they’ll get. Until we find some revolutionary new source of portable energy, e.g. cold fusion or anti-matter containment, we’re pretty much stuck in an orbital holding pattern.

◊   posted by Jim G @ 11:09 am       No Comments Yet / Leave a Comment
 
 
Friday, December 6, 2002
Outer Space ... Science ...

I’ve been reading up on the current state of cosmology and what’s known about the origins of the universe. The “Standard Model” is based on the “big bang”, i.e. the sudden separation of nothingness within an extremely tiny quanta into huge offsetting gobs of positive energy (light, heat, magnetism, etc.) and negative energy (gravity). It also requires “inflation”, the sudden injection of “bubbles” of height, width, depth and time into that hot little quanta, rapidly inflating it like a balloon and allowing the eventual condensation of matter into stars and galaxies. Over the past 12 to 14 billion years, that little bubble expanded into the known universe, with all of its billions and billions of light-years of empty space and billions and billions of galaxies and stars and dust and planets that froze out of that primordial energy, along with various other forms of leftover energy that still bounce around through the void. The Standard Model still hasn’t reached its verdict on the ultimate fate of the Universe, but given the recent observations about the continuing acceleration of the Universe’s expansion (caused by a heretofore unknown “dark energy” that counters the attraction between galaxies caused by gravity), it isn’t terribly optimistic about a future “big crunch” where everything comes back together and perhaps bounces out into a new “big bang”. Many non-scientists regret this, as a cyclical universe that continually expands and contracts like a beating heart just seems so much more poetic that a “heat death” universe where everything is just going to scatter and fall apart and go cold and dark.

Interestingly enough, there is now a competing theory of the universe, called cyclic / quintessence theory. These people are taking the recently discovered acceleration factor and turning it on its head. They believe that accelleration is caused by an energy field they call “quintessence”. As energy goes, quintessence isn’t so “dark” after all, because in the future it will change so as to reverse the expansion and cause a “big crunch”, thus bringing back the beating heart universe. The world of cosmology seems to be taking this paradigm seriously. Some cosmologists say it’s a lot of bunk, while others think it has potential. I don’t know if Steven Hawking has weighed in on the issue yet, but the ultimate arbiter will be experimental observations from satellites and antennas and observatories. The theory that best explains what is observed out in the heavens, e.g. fluctuations in the cosmic background noise, patterns in red-shifts of stars and galaxies, x-ray signals from black holes, and wavy images caused by gravity effects, will be the winner. Oh, also, the theory has to explain everything else known to physicists about atoms and particles and energy. And that’s where the problems come in. The Standard Model has certain things that it can’t comfortably explain (like the rapid spinning of galaxies relative to the known amount of matter in the universe), or implies certain things that just don’t seem to happen (such as magnets that have only one pole, or significant amounts of anti-matter). The cyclic theory supposedly also has its weak spots. It’s like trying to find the perfect pair of pants; with one pair, maybe the length is OK, but the back is too tight, while another pair is fine on length and seat but the waist pinches. Fortunately, pants aren’t cosmic theories. If we all waited for nearly perfect pairs of pants, most of us would still be in togas. Cosmologists, however, want to get it all right.

I really wish that I had the brainpower to get in on these doings. Cosmology seems to engage just about every aspect of physics known to humanity, from quantum mechanics to the laws of thermodynamics and entropy to fluid mechanics to geometry and topography to relativity to particle physics — all swallowed with extremely abstract and complex doses of mathematics. To be a cosmologist these days, it seems that you have to know just about everything there is to know about physics, and account for it in your ramblings about where the universe came from, what it is doing, and where it’s going. You don’t look at pretty images in the night sky through telescopes very often (or at images coming from NASA satellites); you do heavy math and crunch numbers on computers, then write extremely dense technical papers and defend them at conferences and before cranky academic committees. Decades ago, in engineering school, I studied some of the basic math and physics that undergirds this world, but I’ve long since forgotten most of it.

So, anything that I say here about current cosmological theories is pretty much worthless; I couldn’t even call it “2 cents worth”. But that never stopped me before. So here goes. Right now, I’m still betting on the standard big-bang / inflation view, and not taking quintessence too seriously. I admire the cyclical / quintessence view, as it represents a breath of fresh air, the kind of thinking that comes along every now and then in science causing a great leap forward. But in order to accept the cyclic / quintessence view, you have to start thinking in additional dimensions. This was probably inspired by superstring theory, the current attempt at an elegant “theory of everything” that unifies the view of all known elementary particles and forces (including gravity). Superstring theory has a lot going for it, but it requires the acceptance of multiple hyper-dimensions. Some forms of it require up to 11 dimensions. The cyclic theory people need only one or two extra dimensions, but that’s a whole lot more than what we experience in our daily lives (at least while we’re sober).

The thought of extra dimensions certainly does stir the popular imagination (although the string theory people try to deflate that by saying that the extra dimensions are somehow bound or wrapped up and aren’t really available to be manipulated). Years and years ago I read the book Flatland by Edwin Abbott, which is quite a significant little book. On the social level, it makes you aware of the effect of prejudices and closed mindedness. But on the geometric level, it helps your mind to picture what dimensions are, and what extra dimensions might mean. Flatland describes a 2-dimensional world (which is called Flatland, of all things; actually, it has 2 space dimensions plus time, as things happen in it). When Flatland encounters the 3 dimensional world that we live in, very strange things seem to happen to the living creatures who inhabit Flatland. They start seeing things in their world disappear, then reappear somewhere else. For example, imagine that a circle on the Flatland plain was lifted into our 3-dimensional world, taken up from the infinitely thin world like a plastic circle from a child’s Colorforms sheet, then set back down on it at a different point. And hey, what if you put your finger into Flatland? The Flatlanders would see an oval shape appear, then get bigger as you put your finger further through it, then get smaller and disappear when you pull your finger back. To them, it would be magic — a miracle, beyond the laws of their universe! You would be a god to them.

So, if there are extra dimensions beyond our three (actually, there are four: three space dimensions plus time), can a 3-D object disappear then reappear somewhere else? Or get bigger and smaller as some extra-dimensional being outside of our world toys with our space? And what about time? If there is a trans-time dimension, can something zoom into the past or future? Or can you replace your body of today with your body of ten years ago? And what would all of this do to the basic principle of conservation of energy and mass in physics? What if something could just get pulled out of our universe via a hyper-dimension? Doesn’t that mean that mass and energy in fact are not conserved (although they may still be, in a hyper-dimensional sense)? An uninformed layman like myself might wonder at times whether those weird quantum sub-atomic events where particles act like fuzzy probability distributions use an extra dimension to confound us (maybe they just bounce around through some extra spatial dimension, or split themselves up in time somehow to be in two or three places at once). And hey, the big bang does seem in some ways like the creation of a closed-off “timespace” universe from a hyper-dimensional “mother universe” (just like we can arguably create a 2-dimensional living Flatland from our 3-D space, on a computer screen; in Flatland, the Flatlanders talked of a 1-dimensional land, called “LineLand” I think). The cyclic theory people really do fire up the imagination with their talk of 3-dimensional “membranes” drifting around like nets in a hyper-dimensional sea, occasionally colliding and thus causing a frictional spark of sorts that triggers off the gravity/energy-mass split of the big bang (i.e., the big bang event).

Well, I know that this is mostly pseudo-scientific babble on my part. But it’s fun to do sometimes. Hey, Gene Rodenberry and his successor Star Trek writers did it and still do it! But at bottom, I’m sticking with the standard “bang-inflation” model and four dimensions. Too bad if the Universe we know is heading for an unpoetic physical death. So am I, and so are all of us. The only hope for us is that there is in fact some sort of spiritual reality, which would at the very least need to be extra-dimensional, transcending space, time and entropy. But mixing our thinking on spirituality and science is really not such a good mix, like ammonia and bleach, or drinking and driving. For now, it’s probably best to generally keep them all in their own little corners of space and time (sorry, Ken Wilber). Maybe someday we will be ready for a very much bigger picture. For now, I think that it is best to assume that science, including the science of the cosmos, is just looking at a tiny portion of overall “reality”. Hawking and his successors will NOT know the mind of God when they finally have a cosmic theory with seemingly perfect fit. Unlocking one door will simply lead to another room of mystery. Throughout the history of civilization, the trend has been that every generation finds that that their picture of the known and imagined universe is bigger and more complex than what their predecessors had, sometimes by several orders of magnitude. (Notwithstanding those ancient Hindu sages, with their bizarre descriptions of fantastic numbers and eons of time that allegedly represent but a grain of sand in the ultimate reality — maybe they were on to something). Why, other then ego, should we think that our current concepts are the end of the road?

So, my hunch is that there is some sort of hyperdimensionality that relates to God. But for now, that’s not relevant to science. As to space and time hyperdimensions, my hunch is that our physics is not yet ready for the jump from the Standard Model to hyperdimensionality. As with the gasoline engine in automobiles, I don’t think that height / width / length / time is going to be outmoded anytime soon, even though research on alternatives must continue. We shall see.

◊   posted by Jim G @ 10:49 pm       No Comments Yet / Leave a Comment
 
 
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