{"id":2929,"date":"2012-08-12T12:22:03","date_gmt":"2012-08-12T17:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/?p=2929"},"modified":"2012-08-13T20:02:57","modified_gmt":"2012-08-14T01:02:57","slug":"bring-it-on-congressman-ryan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/?p=2929","title":{"rendered":"Bring It On, Congressman Ryan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As all the world knows, Mitt Romney now has a running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.  Ryan, of course, is noted as the GOP point-man for fixing the federal debt crisis (or crisis-to-be; right now we&#8217;re getting by, lenders still want to loan money to Uncle Sam . . . but at some point, we could get into a jam like Greece, Italy and Spain are in with their unpayable sovereign debt and shrinking economies).  And Ryan&#8217;s key target is the complex of federal entitlements, including the two biggest ones, Social Security and Medicaid.  I haven&#8217;t seen all the details of the Ryan plan, but I understand that he wants drastic cuts in benefit levels for the average citizen, with no exemptions for Baby Boomer foggies like me who are counting on these programs for a comfortable but not lavish old age.   <\/p>\n<p>Of course, the big problem is the &#8220;Great Recession&#8221; that we are still not out of, despite the official declaration that the Recession ended in late 2009.  The problem is that the economy is still growing much slower than it could and should.  That has caused an appreciable net loss of national potential wealth, the wealth that these entitlement programs were counting on to stay afloat.  So yes, it does seem reasonable to say that everyone has to share some of the pain, given that the pain is now unavoidable.<\/p>\n<p>What I don&#8217;t like about Ryan and his cronies is that they seize on a real financial problem (which most leaders in the Democratic Party <!--more-->don&#8217;t want to talk about) and propose solutions that pin the burden not on those most responsible for causing the underlying problem, but instead go after those who are most politically vulnerable.  I.e., people like me.  I wasn&#8217;t speculating on mortgage-backed securities in 2006 or issuing credit default swaps or taking repo positions on European sovereign debt.  But because the people and institutions that did these things have lots of funds and thus political clout (&#8220;too big to fail&#8221;), they are mostly insulated from taking responsibility.   So that leaves average people like me (and probably yourself) whose pockets are prime for picking by conservative political pocket-pickers like Congressman Ryan.  <\/p>\n<p>Again, I can accept the idea that the country has undergone something bad, and that I can&#8217;t be fully insulated from the consequences.  Personally, I could accept a 3 or 4% reduction in my Social Security levels relative to what I would get under the current rules. I believe that such a reduction would be fair; before the Great Recession started in 2008, I didn&#8217;t hear any dire predictions about current Social Security and Medicare liabilities threatening to turn us into a weak, impoverished nation. (There was discussion of Social Security problems starting back in the late 90s, but those problems seemed &#8220;fixable&#8221; back then.)  It seems to me that the main problem is the loss of what was otherwise expected to go into the piggybank, because of the recession. <\/p>\n<p>It has been estimated that the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.econbrowser.com\/archives\/2011\/01\/cumulative_outp.html\" target=\"_blank\">overall &#8220;growth loss&#8221; cost<\/a> of the Great Recession is around $4 trillion or 30% of one-year&#8217;s worth of GDP, maybe around 4% average loss for about 7 years (we probably won&#8217;t be back to &#8220;full steam&#8221; with our economy until about 2015). If I live to collect Social Security benefits for 20 years and I get 3% less, then I&#8217;m taking about 60% of one full year less in total.  So I&#8217;ve made up twice my share of a gap of 30% of one year.   I don&#8217;t want to lose anything on the Medicare side, but my excess contribution from a 3% Social Security decrease can make up the gap for Medicare, given that the average cost per year of Medicare benefits is roughly equal (a little less, actually) to a year&#8217;s Social Security payment for a person like me.  OK, so add another point for the pre-existing problems with Social Security, and make it 4%.<\/p>\n<p>Well, bring it on, Congressman Ryan.  &#8220;We&#8217;d all love to see the plan&#8221;, as John Lennon sang in &#8220;Revolution&#8221;.  If you want to reduce my Social Security by more than 4% and cut my Medicare benefits at the same time, then you are obviously coming after me because I seem like an easy political target, from a class of people who can make up for the fair share you don&#8217;t want to collect from those you favor.  Yes indeed, I&#8217;m talking about the rich, the 1%.  Ryan and his putative boss, Governor Romney, say that the rich need to be left alone or else they won&#8217;t create jobs and growth for our future.  Hey, whatever happened to patriotism?  Why shouldn&#8217;t we expect a little more patriotism from the rich?<\/p>\n<p>Good luck, Mr. Ryan.  We owe you gratitude for bringing up an unpleasant topic, i.e. the problem of the burgeoning entitlement obligations and corresponding debt of our government.  But anyone who does the math and who believes in fairly-shared national sacrifice does NOT own you a vote.<\/p>\n<p>[PS &#8212; yes, I know that the Ryan Plan currently promises that people now over age 55 will get their full Social Security and Medicare, without any changes . . . but the Ryan Plan has become the Romney Plan, and Mr. Romney is not exactly famous for taking a position and sticking to it . . . these guys want me to entrust my old age to them?]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As all the world knows, Mitt Romney now has a running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Ryan, of course, is noted as the GOP point-man for fixing the federal debt crisis (or crisis-to-be; right now we&#8217;re getting by, lenders still want to loan money to Uncle Sam . . . but at some point, we could [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,13,7],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2929"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2929"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2929\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2931,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2929\/revisions\/2931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jimgworld.com\/blog1\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}